Maranhão
Synthetic Non-stationary Data Streams for Recognition of the Unknown
The problem of data non-stationarity is commonly addressed in data stream processing. In a dynamic environment, methods should continuously be ready to analyze time-varying data -- hence, they should enable incremental training and respond to concept drifts. An equally important variability typical for non-stationary data stream environments is the emergence of new, previously unknown classes. Often, methods focus on one of these two phenomena -- detection of concept drifts or detection of novel classes -- while both difficulties can be observed in data streams. Additionally, concerning previously unknown observations, the topic of open set of classes has become particularly important in recent years, where the goal of methods is to efficiently classify within known classes and recognize objects outside the model competence. This article presents a strategy for synthetic data stream generation in which both concept drifts and the emergence of new classes representing unknown objects occur. The presented research shows how unsupervised drift detectors address the task of detecting novelty and concept drifts and demonstrates how the generated data streams can be utilized in the open set recognition task.
A Guide to Failure in Machine Learning: Reliability and Robustness from Foundations to Practice
Heim, Eric, Wright, Oren, Shriver, David
One of the main barriers to adoption of Machine Learning (ML) is that ML models can fail unexpectedly. In this work, we aim to provide practitioners a guide to better understand why ML models fail and equip them with techniques they can use to reason about failure. Specifically, we discuss failure as either being caused by lack of reliability or lack of robustness. Differentiating the causes of failure in this way allows us to formally define why models fail from first principles and tie these definitions to engineering concepts and real-world deployment settings. Throughout the document we provide 1) a summary of important theoretic concepts in reliability and robustness, 2) a sampling current techniques that practitioners can utilize to reason about ML model reliability and robustness, and 3) examples that show how these concepts and techniques can apply to real-world settings.
Describing Nonstationary Data Streams in Frequency Domain
Concept drift is among the primary challenges faced by the data stream processing methods. The drift detection strategies, designed to counteract the negative consequences of such changes, often rely on analyzing the problem metafeatures. This work presents the Frequency Filtering Metadescriptor -- a tool for characterizing the data stream that searches for the informative frequency components visible in the sample's feature vector. The frequencies are filtered according to their variance across all available data batches. The presented solution is capable of generating a metadescription of the data stream, separating chunks into groups describing specific concepts on its basis, and visualizing the frequencies in the original spatial domain. The experimental analysis compared the proposed solution with two state-of-the-art strategies and with the PCA baseline in the post-hoc concept identification task. The research is followed by the identification of concepts in the real-world data streams. The generalization in the frequency domain adapted in the proposed solution allows to capture the complex feature dependencies as a reduced number of frequency components, while maintaining the semantic meaning of data.
Unifying and Optimizing Data Values for Selection via Sequential-Decision-Making
Chi, Hongliang, Wu, Qiong, Zhou, Zhengyi, Light, Jonathan, Dodwell, Emily, Ma, Yao
Data selection has emerged as a crucial downstream application of data valuation. While existing data valuation methods have shown promise in selection tasks, the theoretical foundations and full potential of using data values for selection remain largely unexplored. In this work, we first demonstrate that data values applied for selection can be naturally reformulated as a sequential-decision-making problem, where the optimal data value can be derived through dynamic programming. We show this framework unifies and reinterprets existing methods like Data Shapley through the lens of approximate dynamic programming, specifically as myopic reward function approximations to this sequential problem. Furthermore, we analyze how sequential data selection optimality is affected when the ground-truth utility function exhibits monotonic submodularity with curvature. To address the computational challenges in obtaining optimal data values, we propose an efficient approximation scheme using learned bipartite graphs as surrogate utility models, ensuring greedy selection is still optimal when the surrogate utility is correctly specified and learned. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach across diverse datasets.
Early Concept Drift Detection via Prediction Uncertainty
Lu, Pengqian, Lu, Jie, Liu, Anjin, Zhang, Guangquan
Concept drift, characterized by unpredictable changes in data distribution over time, poses significant challenges to machine learning models in streaming data scenarios. Although error rate-based concept drift detectors are widely used, they often fail to identify drift in the early stages when the data distribution changes but error rates remain constant. This paper introduces the Prediction Uncertainty Index (PU-index), derived from the prediction uncertainty of the classifier, as a superior alternative to the error rate for drift detection. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that: (1) The PU-index can detect drift even when error rates remain stable. (2) Any change in the error rate will lead to a corresponding change in the PU-index. These properties make the PU-index a more sensitive and robust indicator for drift detection compared to existing methods. We also propose a PU-index-based Drift Detector (PUDD) that employs a novel Adaptive PU-index Bucketing algorithm for detecting drift. Empirical evaluations on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate PUDD's efficacy in detecting drift in structured and image data.
Identifying Predictions That Influence the Future: Detecting Performative Concept Drift in Data Streams
Gower-Winter, Brandon, Krempl, Georg, Dragomiretskiy, Sergey, Jelsma, Tineke, Siebes, Arno
Concept Drift has been extensively studied within the context of Stream Learning. However, it is often assumed that the deployed model's predictions play no role in the concept drift the system experiences. Closer inspection reveals that this is not always the case. Automated trading might be prone to self-fulfilling feedback loops. Likewise, malicious entities might adapt to evade detectors in the adversarial setting resulting in a self-negating feedback loop that requires the deployed models to constantly retrain. Such settings where a model may induce concept drift are called performative. In this work, we investigate this phenomenon. Our contributions are as follows: First, we define performative drift within a stream learning setting and distinguish it from other causes of drift. We introduce a novel type of drift detection task, aimed at identifying potential performative concept drift in data streams. We propose a first such performative drift detection approach, called CheckerBoard Performative Drift Detection (CB-PDD). We apply CB-PDD to both synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets that exhibit varying degrees of self-fulfilling feedback loops. Results are positive with CB-PDD showing high efficacy, low false detection rates, resilience to intrinsic drift, comparability to other drift detection techniques, and an ability to effectively detect performative drift in semi-synthetic datasets. Secondly, we highlight the role intrinsic (traditional) drift plays in obfuscating performative drift and discuss the implications of these findings as well as the limitations of CB-PDD.